(CNN)More folks are voting early than ever before. As of Monday afternoon, more than 60 million people have voted so far. That not only surpasses where we were at this point in 2016, it blows past the total number of people who voted early that year.
While early voting can't tell us the eventual outcome from this election, we can say that the data we're seeing so far in the early vote are consistent with what the pre-election polling has indicated.
In other words, nothing in the early vote data makes me doubt the pre-election polling data. This is a good sign for those hoping that the polling miscues of 2016 don't repeat themselves.
It's easier to know if someone is a registered voter than if they're a likely voter. If turnout is higher, the likely voter universe has a better chance of matching the registered voter universe.
But look at what is happening in North Carolina and Florida, when comparing the early in-person voting in those states to the mail-in voting.
In both states, the in-person voting bloc is significantly friendlier to Republicans than the vote-by-mail portion of the electorate. In Florida, Republicans are making up a larger chunk of in-person early voters than are Democrats. This is the reverse of what we've seen in prior years.
Again, this generally conforms to the expectations of those following the polls.
I should point out that none of these facts guarantees the polls are going to be right on the money. In politics, the difference between 48% and 51% is all the difference in the world.
Still, the data we're seeing leads me to believe that we shouldn't be anticipating a polling miss in one direction or another. If one does occur, it's going to be some yet undiagnosed reason.